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In a stunning development, a key leading candidates in the Irish presidential election has withdrawn from the campaign, reshaping the entire competition.
Fianna Fáil's presidential hopeful withdrew on the evening of Sunday following reports about an outstanding payment to a previous occupant, transforming the race into an uncertain direct competition between a centre-right former government minister and an non-aligned left-leaning member of parliament.
Gavin, 54, a inexperienced candidate who entered the campaign after work in sports, airline industry and defense, quit after it came to light he had failed to return a excess rental payment of 3,300 euros when he was a landlord about 16 years ago, during a period of monetary strain.
"I made a mistake that was not in keeping with my values and the principles I uphold. I am currently resolving the issue," he declared. "I have also thought long and hard, regarding the possible effects of the ongoing campaign on the welfare of my relatives and acquaintances.
"Weighing all these factors, I have decided to withdraw from the race for the presidency with immediate effect and go back to my family."
A major surprise in a political contest in recent history limited the options to one candidate, a former cabinet minister who is representing the incumbent center-right Fine Gael party, and another candidate, an outspoken pro-Palestinian voice who is supported by a political party and small leftwing opposition parties.
Gavin's exit also caused a problem for the prime minister and party head, Micheál Martin, who had risked his standing by nominating an unproven contender over the reservations of party colleagues.
He commented the candidate wished to avoid "create turmoil" to the office of president and was correct to step down. "Gavin recognized that he committed a mistake in relation to an situation that has come up lately."
Although known for capability and achievements in business and sport – under his leadership the Dublin football squad to five consecutive championship victories – his campaign had stumbled through gaffes that caused him to fall behind in an public opinion measure even prior to the financial revelation.
Party members who had been against choosing the candidate said the episode was a "serious miscalculation" that would have "repercussions" – a implied threat to the leader.
His name may remain on the ballot in the poll taking place in late October, which will conclude the lengthy term of President Higgins, but voters now face a binary choice between a centrist establishment candidate and an independent leftwinger. Survey results prior to the withdrawal gave 32 percent backing for Connolly and Humphreys 23%, with the former candidate at 15 percent.
According to voting regulations, the electorate chooses candidates in order of preference. If no candidate exceeds half the votes initially, the candidate with the least primary selections is eliminated and their support is passed to the following option.
Observers anticipated that if Gavin was eliminated, most of his votes would go to Humphreys, and vice versa, increasing the likelihood that a pro-government candidate would attain the presidency for the Fianna Fáil/Fine Gael coalition.
This office is a primarily ceremonial position but the current and former presidents made it a platform on global issues.
The 68-year-old Connolly, from her home city, would introduce a robust progressive perspective to that legacy. She has criticized neoliberal economics and said the group represents "a fundamental element" of the Palestinian community. She has charged Nato of militarism and likened Berlin's enhanced defense expenditure to the pre-war era, when the Nazi leader built up military forces.
The 62-year-old Humphreys, has faced scrutiny over her record as a minister in administrations that managed a housing crisis. A Presbyterian from the northern county, she has also been questioned about her inability to speak Irish but stated her faith tradition could assist in gaining Northern Ireland's unionists in a united Ireland.
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